Tag Archives: economic change

Negotiating Volatility

Limitless Possibilities

           Confusing, Volatile, Hateful, Loss, Changing, Compassionate, Loving, Opportunity, Joy

Negotiating Volatility

Though retired, I keep one foot in the museum world. This February’s American Alliance of Museum magazine was about navigating the future during a volatile time. Trendswatch, a center forecasting the future for museums, supplied data for the article. Since insights are as pertinent for ordinary people as they are for museums, I decided to share them.

The magazine begins by summarizing data that affects us all. I was surprised to read that one hundred sixty educators have been fired for political reasons since 2022, and the increase in global carbon emissions since 1970 is 90%.  By 2090, with the adoption of generative AI, they project job loss to be as high as 30%. The number translates into 300 million current jobs being eliminated globally. Last year, 53 % percent of hiring managers reported that their company eliminated the requirement for a bachelor’s degree in some or all roles.

I knew that book banning was a problem but was horrified to learn that over 2,571 book titles have been challenged or banned in U.S. public libraries and school libraries between 2020 and 2022; so much for freedom of expression, with so many people becoming morality censors.  I’m not surprised that the segment of U.S. adults who reported feeling lonely a lot of the time yesterday is 17% of the population (44 million American adults).

The speed of change is increasing exponentially. Google’s director of engineering predicts that a year’s worth of change that occurs today will only take three months to do by 2041. ChatGPT, launched in November 2022, had over a million active users by January 2023. It and other AI platforms are changing the landscape for thousands of writers, illustrators, and journalists. Rapid change is unpredictable and can be terrifying for those unprepared.  AI is a record-breaker. It processes data and completes tasks faster than humans. Plus machines, don’t need bathroom and lunch breaks.

Frey and Osborn, who accurately predicted job loss over the past twenty years, predict that the following jobs are at immediate risk. 

  • Transportation and material moving (nearly 12 million jobs)
  • Sales and sales-related roles (3.8 million jobs)
  • Production (2.8 million jobs)
  • Office and administrative support (14.4 million jobs)
  • Food preparation and service (4.4 million jobs)
  • Business and financial operations (700,000 jobs)
  • Other, which include:
    • Art, design, entertainment, sports, and media (14,000 jobs)
    • Building, grounds cleaning, and maintenance (3.8 million jobs)
    • Legal occupations (414,000 jobs)
    • Personal care and service operations (179,000 jobs)
    • Protective service operations (91,000 jobs)                               These predictions are causing people to rethink career paths.

What does this mean to you and me? The future will be frightening and challenging for anyone set in their ways. There will be exciting possibilities for individuals with a broad outlook who are not afraid of technology and can adapt. Those who survive unscathed will set a course that helps them adapt without becoming overly stressed.

They will–

  • Pay attention to hot-button topics likely to set people off, realizing that verbiage matters. They won’t use words designed to hurt or likely escalate emotions.
  • Find purpose through meaningful social interactions with people who support their beliefs. It will be a mechanism for developing friendships and close family relationships. It can start with discussions around the dinner table, getting children used to analyzing the risks and benefits of their positions. It will mean joining friendship groups to get help with employment opportunities.  
  • Learn to deal with angry, aggressive people and find ways to engage them in a more productive dialogue. They will do this by participating in discussion groups that include people with differing backgrounds and beliefs. They will take into account the perspectives of others, respecting their viewpoints even when they disagree with them.  
  • Participate in neighborhood watch, become friendly with neighbors, and are willing to help and be helped in an emergency. They will discuss ways to deal with extreme weather situations and will stock up on supplies so they are prepared for natural disasters predicted in their area.
  • Monitor local legislative and legal decisions to ensure that water, utilities, and land use aren’t areas for corporate exploitation. They will take a stand on issues that concern them—knowing that everyone loses when cultural and educational institutions are held hostage by partisan politics. These institutions are among the few that can be trusted to deliver non-partisan information.

Navigating the future will be difficult and not for the light-hearted. We are headed for a time of extreme poverty, displaced people due to climate change, and increased mental illness due to stress. Maintaining a democratic society will be difficult, but it can be done. We can’t give up hope.

While working through confusion, we’ll have to roll with the times and find enjoyment where we can. We can love and be loved and expand our love to include those less fortunate than ourselves. Compassion can get us through bad times and stir up peace. Valentine’s Day is an excellent time to start expanding love. 

I look forward to your comments about the volatility of your life. Do you find change stressful? How do you deal with it? Please share at www.eichingerfineart.com/blog

Art is always for sale. Limitless Possibilities is a 24″ x 18 “acrylic painting on canvas. Available for $595. Free shipping within the continental U.S. To purchase, contact me at marilynne@eichingerfineart.com or go to the abstract work category on my website at www.Eichingerfineart.com

and buy online.

Xennials: Finding Community

Walking on Air

Above they city they pass in search of life’s meaning and a way to cope in a rapidly changing technological stratified society.

Acrylic on canvas/ 26.5″ x 49.5”/ wood frame/  $650.00


Xennials: Finding Community

The parenting focus in my last two newsletters discussed why couples with children born in the the United States score at the bottom of an international scale for happiness. Last week I shared these findings with young adults who visited my “Do You Need A Mother?” booth which my son set up for me at Shift-Festival, an Oregon techno-art-music extravaganza (similar to Burning Man). A great many attendees appeared relieved to have a chance to talk about problems they were facing. I learned of a myriad of concerns Xennials have when coping with social and economic issues.

Who are these Xennials?  They previously were under the “Millennia” umbrella, but found that it covered such a broad spectrum of ages they did not fit in.  So, Mellenial was subdivided into two groups—Xennials (born between 1977 and 1983) and Millennials (born 1984 to 2,000). Millennials are often labeled as narcissistic and spoiled by helicopter parents. They are blamed for much of what is wrong in society today. Baby Boomers say they are lazy and entitled. Xennials didn’t want to be associated with such negativity which is why they christened a new category. Now, in their 30s and 40s, they are able to affect the dynamics of our country.

Though not digital natives, Xennials are comfortable with technological advances. They still remember dial-up internet and heavy mobile phones. In their teens, they mixed music on cassette tapes, owned a walkman and remember when they first heard about Google and Facebook. Xennials were the first group to embrace social media but squeezed through high school and college before it overtook their lives. They are cynical, though not as pessimistic as early Gen Xers and remain somewhat optimistic, though not as much as Gen Yers.

Xennials got rid of paper bank statements, brought down bar soap, nixed nine-to five works days and ended the time when interactions started off-computer. They are the sandwich generation, caught between analog and digital computers, and were hit hardest by a recession that caused job loss and created excessive student debt. Highly influenced by the tragedy of 9/11, they lost much of their optimism. As Monica Hunter-Heart says, “they were first given a sweet taste of the good life, and then kicked in the face.”

Most of the people I met attending Shift-Festival belong to the Xennial generation. They embrace health and wellness trends and have slightly more disposable income than the Millennials who follow.  Many have chosen not to have children, but if they do, they  likely waited until in their thirties and have only one. Xennial’s believe in relaxation and science based solutions, spending time and income on taking several vacations per year. They want to “do good,” support feminist ideals and accept those of LGBTQ persuasion.

Since they are not in the top economic echelon, the middle class world they inhabit is more brutal than the one I experienced at the same age. Their coping mechanisms do not depend on family or small town community fabric. Rather than go it alone, however, they band together sharing residences and forming friendship groups based on common interests. Meetup and Maker events lead the way. Festivals like Burning Man and Shift have camps composed of friends who design art and science projects that are worked on throughout the year. Sculptures, circus acts and musical entertainment are then brought to summer events. These social groups are reminiscent of the krewes that sponsor floats and balls for Mardi Gras in New Orleans.

The people I met at Shift are middle income Americans. For the most part, they are college educated computer scientists, engineers, teachers  and psychologists or they received advanced training at a technical school. Though they applied themselves to their studies, upon graduation, they had a difficult time getting a meaningful job. Those who did, discovered that their salary was barely enough to cover living expenses and repay college debt.

Most began their careers enthusiastically and worked hard in hope of improving society, but when the market crashed, they became discouraged. Though previously earning a decent wage, a great many were suddenly deprived of employment and security.  If married, the added stress contributed to depression and relationships that ended in divorce. They settled into a state of  stress and worry and became hesitant to make long term commitments. Instead they started seeking gratification through rotating connections and continuous partying.

Many times over I heard people say they were engaged in a search for meaning. They were looking for something, but knew not what it was, and hoped to regain the passion they had felt when younger. They want a job that will help build community, provide a meaningful focus and contribute to their financial stability. Unfortunately, there are few job opening for those with a social conscience. They lucky few who don’t find what they are looking for at work are able to discover a purpose through Maker friendship groups.

So— instead, they attend festivals and dance in night long marathons, often escaping in a haze of alcohol and drugs. Underneath their cheerful exterior and wishful words, I heard fear and uncertainty. They expressed concerned about what will happen  without having children to care for them as they age.

Yet, despite their confusion, I am cautiously optimistic that they will find a path. It will be different than mine, but their search for meaning and community is already taking expression in numerous communal forms. Living in over populated cities, affected by crime and climate change, they experiment with new friendship forms that meet their desire for family. I can’t help but admire the compassion and creativity they bring to their work and play.  I hope that they will be better able to create a just society than the hippies of the 60’s espousing peace and love.

As Sharon Jackson wrote in the Star Tribune, “Baby boomers are stereotyped as hippies and tree-hugging idealists. Gen Xers are considered jaded slackers. Millennials are disparaged as coddled narcissists. But for the newly coined Xennials, there’s no bad rap: Their story hasn’t been written.”

Addendum:

Marriage status for each generation at age 25-30

Boomers -1980 = 60%

Gen X – 1990-54%

Gen X -2000 -50%

Xennials 2010- 38%

Millenials-2015 33%

References:

Lord, E. (2017) 11 Sisgns  That You’re a Xennial Not a Millennial. Notable Live. retrieved from  https://notablelife.com/xennial-millennial-definition/

Haunter-Hart.M. (2017) What is an Xennial? What People Born Between ’77-’83 Need to Know. The Bleeding Edge (A Netflix Documentary) retrieved from https://www.inverse.com

Wertz, Jia. (2018) Analog and Digital: Xennials present a Unique Opportunity for Marketers, Forbes, retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/sites/jiawertz/2018/04/19/analog-digital-xennials-present-unique-opportunity-for-marketers/#35da894266ba

Jackson, S. (2017) ‘Sandwiched’ between Gen X and Millennials, Xennials seek own identity.  Star Tribune. retrieved from http://www.startribune.com/sandwiched-between-gen-x-and-millennials-xennials-seek-own-identity/461129323/

Savannah Odyssey

 

DSC04477Revisiting Savannah                                                                                                                                       What does this Native woman think as she looks over the Savannah River at a mid-eastern styled shopping center adjacent to an aging church?

A Savannah Odyssey                                                                                                                                     This blog is being written because of the plethora of racial issues plastered over the news media.  A recent trip to Savannah, Georgia provided  me a way to peek under the surface of racial tension. Savannah has approximately 143,000 inhabitants, down from its civil war high of over 200,000. As an outsider it was easier to probe this small eastern city than Portland where I live and have a vested interest in the status quo

I wanted to visit the deep south ever since I read The Prince of Tides by Pat Conroy, and finally got a chance to do so. Last fall, in shared celebration of our birthdays, my cousin Elaine and I ventured forth. My before image was filled with antebellum mansions, wrought iron gates, cotton plantations, trees laden with sphagnum moss and graceful women with lilting southern accents.

It surprised me wP1010649hen most of those visions were shattered. Trees dripping with moss were certainly amazing. Big gnarly Oak branches made me want to age regress to a more limber childhood when climbing could be done with ease. I conjured images of being gracefully perched on a long-roped swing while my beau gently pushed me to and fro. The city plan established in 1733 by its founder James Oglethorpe is unique in that streets in the central area are organized around 24 squares or parks, each surrounded by eight blocks for living and shopping. Though the parks no longer are used for grazing cattle, they do offer areas for strolling and listening to folk artists under broad-leafed trees. Rows of closely built homes are embellished with fanciful wrought iron banisters and fences, and churches of every denomination are liberally sprinkled throughout. Those walking the streets were for the most part white and came from all parts of the world, so the southern accents I listened for were sparse. People of color lived in poor ghettos on the outskirts of town.

P1010596There are no plantations in Savannah, and there never were any. The invention of the cotton gin by Eli Whitney made it easy to remove seeds from cotton fiber, and that innovation along with new manufacturing techniques led to a flourishing cotton trade. When steamships became practical in the early 1800s the city blossomed as an export and importing hub.

In 1861 the white ruling class celebrated the state’s decision to secede from the Union. They were determined to maintain their lifestyle by keeping just under half of the population enslaved. Four grueling years ended in 1864 when Sherman captured Savannah. White and black alike welcomed an end to the carnage that wrecked their lives and killed their sons and husbands. The power elite adapted easily to the end of slavery by planning a new economy that maintained the status quo. For over one hundred years the white population managed to keep control and stave off ambitions of black residents who had fought so bitterly for their rights.

Tourism videos describe Savannah as racially integrated, and several museums and historical houses proudly display exhibitions of art produced by black artists. “Great,” I thought, “ a city with an appreciation for color.” Orgelthorpe did not like slavery, and early on Georgia actually banned the trade. But before long there was not enough manpower to clear the land and do the work, so slaves were imported from South Carolina. With the repeal in 1750 of the anti-slavery law the local economy grew. Savannah become a major port for the slave trade, as well as an export site for cotton, rice and lumber. Interestingly, in 1798 the city again banned slavery, though costal Georgian waterways continued to be used for the trade until 1858.P1010697

Being curious, I asked people I met about race relations today. Those of color (making up 55% of the city) responded that everyone coexisted extremely well. With a bit more probing I discovered that men who succeeded, like Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, were few and far between. Though schools and lunch counters are integrated, the 2010 US census shows a city that ranked 6th in the percentage (26%) of people living in poverty, and most of them are African-American. Our hotel workers and taxi cab drivers had told us what they thought we tourists would want to hear. A more honest assessment was given by a white guide who answered with rancor, “What do you expect? This is the south.”

Though the Food Network distanced itself from Paula Deen because of racial slurs made on national television, she still remains the queen of Southern cuisine and her restaurant flourishes. Political gains have not translated to economic equality, and white faces remain in tourist areas and in the nicer parts of town. Increases in violence, teen-age pregnancy and drug abuse are alarming to local residents. African-American business activity is collapsing and unemployment is twice that of the white population . . . just as it was in the 1960’s.

Change continues to visit the city in unexpected ways. Stores with middle eastern influences were erected on the main shopping street, breaking the historic feel of center city. There are a wide variety of ethnic restaurants to lure a hungry appetite, but fried chicken and macaroni and cheese remain supreme. I admit, they are delicious and a good excuse to stop calorie counting.

When the civil rights movement called for reform, colored and white-only bathrooms were finally eliminated. Yet in reaction to desegregated schools, 10,000 parents pulled their children out of the newly integrated system and sent them to private institutions. Today 18% of the county’s children do not receive a public education, a much higher number than in other Georgian counties. There are a smattering of hopeful signs within the school system, though. With the recent introduction of magnet schools, sections of the city are reversing the outgoing trend. An example is Ardsley Park that boasts a new Montessori magnet program.

Cities throughout the United States are bubbling with fermented hatred, and it takes a great amount of investigation to uncover truths. It is difficult to make sense of political manipulations, and very laborious to develop a plan that works for all. In my home town, I rarely talk to anyone about racial issues, though I would welcome a forum for doing so. Many our city’s racial problems are similar to those found in Savannah. Poverty, poor health, ghetto housing, drugs, lack of education and few employment opportunities rack most urban areas. If newscasters focused on these issues rather than give in to sensationalism, perhaps a more effective dialogue could be started, and we might end the cycle of shootings between police and racially profiled targets.

For more information go to:http://savannahnow.com/features/reseg/RESEG5/inside5/main5.html – White Flight

http://savannahnow.com/features/reseg/RESEG5/inside5/main5.html – Savannah schools

http://www.nytimes.com/1991/08/08/us/jim-crow-s-ghost-savannah-civil-rights-special-report-ways-older-south-linger.html – The segregated Savannah.

http://www.georgiaencyclopedia.org/articles/history-archaeology/atlantic-slave-trade-savannah – about Slavery in Savannah and Georgia.

http://www.examiner.com/article/4th-of-july-2013-and-notes-on-race-and-racism-savannah-georgia-part-3-of-3 – Race relations in Savannah.

http://www.ajc.com/news/business/deen-still-a-draw-in-savannah/nYYdJ/#__federated=1 – about Paula Dean.

http://www.ourdocuments.gov/doc.php?flash=true&doc=14 – Statistics